Crato vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
35.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 3
TIR
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
TIR
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FER
0 - 1
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
5 - 2
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |