Crato vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
4 - 0
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
3 - 5
HOR
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
CEA
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FER
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 2
ITA
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |