Crato vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
59.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 5
RFC
6%
16%
78%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
ARN
8 - 1
CRA
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
3 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
SOU
10%
22%
68%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 1
SPC
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
2 - 5
AFO
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
ICA
3 - 0
CRA
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SOU
1 - 2
ICA
68%
20%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |