Crato vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
4 - 2
CRA
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 2
GUA
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
2 - 3
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
6 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
36%
25%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
OES
2 - 0
ICA
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |