Crato vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 0
ICA
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TIR
0 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
ICA
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 1
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
FER
3 - 2
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |