Crato vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
0 - 3
CRA
42%
25%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 0
CRA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2010 |
BOV
0 - 3
CRA
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CRA
4 - 0
FOR
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOV
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LIM
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
48%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |