Crato vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 2
BOV
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
3 - 1
QUI
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
FER
1 - 0
CRA
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
CRA
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 3
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
BOV
1 - 2
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 4
HOR
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
ITA
0 - 1
GUA
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |