Crato vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
+1
4.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.7%
77.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24%
0-3
13%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
UNI
7 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
32 | 80 | 48 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 4
FER
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
4%
11%
85%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
CAU
83%
13%
4%
|
77 | 35 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
CSA
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |