Crato vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
QUI
51%
23%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ICA
4 - 3
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 3
GUA
31%
25%
45%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 2
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRB
61%
22%
18%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ARN
4 - 0
FOR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |