Crato vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 3
CRA
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 1
PAC
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
AMF
1 - 1
FER
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
FER
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CEA
12%
21%
68%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FER
2 - 1
CAU
74%
15%
10%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |