Crato vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
CRA
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
TIR
38%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
0 - 1
FER
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
FER
2 - 3
ICA
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
FER
30%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |