Crato vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 1
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FER
3 - 2
LIM
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 1
FER
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |