Crato vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
0 - 4
CEA
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FER
1 - 1
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
FER
0 - 2
GUA
40%
24%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
FER
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |