Crato vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
65.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 2
CRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
TIR
3 - 2
CRA
55%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
FER
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
75%
16%
8%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
QUI
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 2
CEA
22%
23%
56%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 0
CEA
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |