Crato vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 1
LIM
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CRA
2 - 0
HOR
31%
24%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
4 - 0
LIM
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 3
CEA
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
BOV
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
JMA
2 - 1
CEA
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
CEA
2 - 0
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |