Crato vs EC Limoeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CEA
4 - 0
CRA
78%
16%
6%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
CRA
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 3
TIR
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
EC Limoeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 4
ICA
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
LIM
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LIM
0 - 1
GUA
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |