Crateús vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TIR
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
TRA
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
ICA
15%
20%
66%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRA
4 - 1
GUA
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |