Crateús vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 1
CRA
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
TIR
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ICA
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 3
FOR
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |