Crateús vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crateús
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 0
CRA
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TIR
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
TRA
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 0
CRA
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
2 - 0
ICA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEA
1 - 2
FOR
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
CEA
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
CEA
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |