Crailsheim vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 0
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VFR
0 - 2
CRA
18%
23%
60%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CRA
3 - 0
LIN
72%
17%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
FRE
4 - 1
CRA
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CRA
2 - 0
HEI
30%
25%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
ULM
3 - 1
SGS
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ULM
2 - 0
FRE
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
WAL
1 - 0
ULM
26%
26%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
ULM
1 - 1
HOF
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
BAH
0 - 3
ULM
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |