Crailsheim vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crailsheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CRA
4 - 1
FVL
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 0
CRA
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
CRA
3 - 1
FRE
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BON
2 - 0
CRA
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
CRA
1 - 0
STU
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FRE
2 - 1
WAL
13%
20%
67%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
3 - 2
FRE
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 2
BON
32%
26%
42%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
STU
2 - 2
FRE
64%
21%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FRE
0 - 1
REU
18%
22%
60%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |