CRAC vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
2 - 0
CRA
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 2
ATL
15%
23%
62%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 0
CRA
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
33%
27%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
VIL
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 85 | 39 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
52%
23%
24%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TUP
3 - 0
VIL
63%
22%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | -1 |