CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APA
2 - 0
CRA
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
3 - 0
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
GOI
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CRA
2 - 0
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
GOI
12%
20%
68%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
TRI
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ANA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRA
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |