CRAC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
0 - 2
CRA
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 0
GRÊ
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
3 - 2
CRA
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
DUQ
53%
24%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
2 - 3
VIL
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
VIL
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |