CRAC vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CRA
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 2
CRB
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 0
CRA
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 2
CUI
34%
29%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
CRA
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
AGU
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 0
CUI
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 0
TRE
52%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 1
BOT
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |