CRAC vs Novo Horizonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 1
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CRA
2 - 0
IPO
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 0
CRA
71%
20%
9%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CRA
0 - 1
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CRA
1 - 0
GOI
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novo Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 2
APA
21%
22%
58%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 0
NOV
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 0
ITU
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 1
NOV
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
GOI
1 - 0
NOV
85%
11%
3%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |