Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-3
CRAC vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 0
MIX
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
CRA
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
2 - 0
IPO
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ANA
0 - 0
CRA
53%
28%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CRA
4 - 1
CAP
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
DEM
76%
18%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
POR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 1
NOV
14%
24%
61%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
ITA
45%
27%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |