Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-2
CRAC vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 1
APA
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 2
CRA
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
CRA
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 1
RIO
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ANA
1 - 1
CRA
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
YPI
82%
12%
5%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 2
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 4
NAU
10%
19%
71%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAU
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
POR
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |