Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
CRAC vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 0
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
CRA
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
SOB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
APA
1 - 2
CRA
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
CEI
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 0
FRI
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
6 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |