CRAC vs CENE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
APA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CENE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
SOB
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
APA
1 - 0
CEN
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 3
CEN
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 1
APA
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |