CRAC vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 0
CRA
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 0
APA
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
8 - 0
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
ATL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
SOB
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 2
CEN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUZ
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CEI
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |