Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-3
CRAC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
CRA
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 0
CRA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
GAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
BOT
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |