CRAC vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
CRA
53%
26%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 0
DUQ
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 1
CRA
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 0
GAM
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
DUQ
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
BOT
24%
26%
49%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BOT
5 - 1
VIL
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DUQ
0 - 0
BOT
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRA
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -2 |