CRAC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 1
CRA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
0 - 0
RIO
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
51%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
5%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 1
ANA
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
APA
2 - 0
ITU
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
75%
18%
8%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
APA
3 - 1
CRA
51%
25%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
APA
1 - 2
VIL
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
IPO
1 - 0
APA
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |