CRAC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
1 - 3
ANA
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GOI
3 - 0
CRA
31%
25%
45%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CRA
58%
23%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 1
CRA
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
ANA
0 - 0
APA
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
APA
2 - 1
ATL
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 2
APA
48%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
APA
1 - 1
TUP
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
APA
0 - 0
MIX
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |