CRAC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
8 - 0
CRA
82%
13%
5%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 4
ATL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRA
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 3
ITU
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
CRA
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
APA
0 - 1
CEI
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 4
GOI
14%
18%
68%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOI
1 - 2
APA
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
APA
2 - 1
ANA
60%
20%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
3 - 1
APA
41%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |