CRAC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 2
CRA
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 1
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
GOI
2 - 1
CRA
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 2
CRA
36%
24%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 4
ATL
13%
20%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
APA
3 - 3
ITU
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 6
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
APA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |