CRAC vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRA
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 2
CRA
68%
19%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CRA
2 - 1
GOI
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ANA
0 - 0
GOI
68%
19%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 1
ANA
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 3
ANA
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ANA
1 - 0
ATL
18%
22%
59%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |