Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CPD
6 - 0
LLA
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 3
CPD
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BST
6 - 5
CPD
37%
22%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CPD
0 - 2
RTW
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CPD
3 - 3
PEN
8%
13%
80%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 0
GRE
56%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 0
GRE
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 2
PEN
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
2 - 2
AAA
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |