Bangor 1876 vs Denbigh Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
CPD
17%
18%
65%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CPD
1 - 0
GRE
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
CPD
4 - 1
FMC
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
CPD
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 0
LLW
84%
10%
6%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Denbigh Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
1 - 1
MOL
37%
22%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
0 - 2
DEN
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | +3 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 4
COL
19%
20%
61%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FMC
4 - 4
DEN
25%
20%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 2
DEN
8%
14%
78%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | -2 |