Bangor 1876 vs Caersws analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangor 1876
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 3
CPD
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AAA
0 - 1
CPD
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
CPD
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CPD
3 - 2
AAA
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
AIR
4 - 0
CPD
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
HOL
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BUC
2 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 3
AIR
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 3
CAE
23%
20%
58%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 2
BUC
56%
20%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |