Cowdenbeath vs Kilmarnock II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
31.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CWB
2 - 2
TRA
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUN
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CBF
3 - 2
CWB
57%
23%
19%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CWB
2 - 1
GRE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CUM
4 - 2
CWB
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUM
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
KIL
3 - 1
BRA
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +6 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 2
KIL
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
5 - 2
THE
12%
15%
74%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +6 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
KIL
3 - 0
CWB
16%
20%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | +4 |