Cowdenbeath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
2 - 3
PET
20%
24%
56%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
CWB
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 2
ALB
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AIR
2 - 0
CWB
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 2
STR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PET
3 - 2
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
STR
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
LIN
56%
22%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
STE
63%
20%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |