Cowdenbeath vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CWB
2 - 0
STI
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CWB
2 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
16%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 4
CWB
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CWB
3 - 2
EAS
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
EAS
4 - 3
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 2
DUM
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
STI
2 - 4
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |