Scottish Championship Promotion Final
Global 3-0
Cowdenbeath vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
ALL
0 - 2
CWB
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CWB
1 - 1
ALL
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 1
CWB
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
3 - 3
STI
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
4 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
AIR
0 - 1
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 1
AIR
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
STI
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
4 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 3
CWB
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |