Cowdenbeath vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CWB
1 - 3
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
CWB
54%
22%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
THE
0 - 2
CWB
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CWB
2 - 2
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
PET
0 - 3
ARB
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
DUN
2 - 1
ARB
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
RAI
0 - 0
ARB
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 2
PET
32%
27%
41%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |