Scottish Championship Promotion Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Cowdenbeath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 1
CWB
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
3 - 3
STI
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CWB
4 - 0
BRE
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 3
CWB
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ARB
1 - 1
CWB
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 1
CWB
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PET
2 - 0
ALL
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ALL
1 - 2
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ALL
2 - 3
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
CLY
0 - 2
ALL
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |