Coventry City vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LEY
2 - 2
COV
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
COV
3 - 2
POS
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
OLD
4 - 1
COV
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COV
1 - 3
BRI
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 1
COV
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
LEA
2 - 2
WOR
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 1
GRE
64%
22%
15%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
TOW
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
LEA
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LEA
1 - 1
WOR
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |