Coventry City vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
WAT
5 - 2
COV
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
COV
1 - 0
CRY
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
REA
1 - 2
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BHA
0 - 0
COV
45%
26%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
COV
2 - 1
SHE
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
NTT
2 - 0
WIM
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
WAL
2 - 1
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
NTT
4 - 0
SHW
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
NTT
2 - 2
PNE
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
OPA
2 - 0
NTT
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |