FA Cup 1/16
Global 1-3
Coventry City vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
WBA
1 - 2
COV
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
MAC
0 - 0
COV
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
COV
1 - 1
WBA
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1995 |
MUD
2 - 0
COV
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1994 |
COV
0 - 4
TOT
37%
29%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1995 |
EVE
5 - 0
NOR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
NOR
1 - 2
WIM
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
NOR
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1995 |
GRI
0 - 1
NOR
20%
24%
57%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
LIV
4 - 0
NOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |